Potential DOBs 13/10

Potential DOB List

14:05 York – My Lord and Master

16:50 Newmarket – Most Gifted

17:25 Newmarket – Gabr

14:05 York – My Lord and Master

Looking at pace there could potential be 3 front-runners including our selection which isn’t great but it would be a bad thing for Tudhope to sit in behind because a lot of these like to sit off the pace so yes it may look set up for a closer but only one can win so the jocks maybe bide there time and wait too long to press the button. So it’s not a deal breaker. Going described as Good, 2 runs for 100% 9f-11f again 100% 3 runs. two dobs and a double dob and remember sometimes were not evening looking for a full dob. No runs at the course to speak of so a grey area there. Class 2 upwards 3 runs 100% I place quite a bit of emphasis on this because it shows they can get competitive and go the pace as well. 1 run in October which he didn’t manage to DOB in again just 1 run so not exactly conclusive. 13-15 runners, he double dob and won. Look for 80% Profit / Full DOB whatever you’re comfortable with.

16:50 Newmarket – Most Gifted

This should be run at a good clip as there are very few that sit out the back, our selection is trainered by O’Brien and he also has the Fav as well so as we all know what happens when he has a few in the race this may lead from the front, the market will be wise to this so the price won’t contract too much depending on how many lengths are between this horse and the second at the 2f pole. Its run over 6f so if he can stell 2.5-3L at the start it may contract very quickly as an overreaction and we can look to get out with maybe 50% profit. Ground 3 runs 100% 6f-7f 100% over 5 runs which is very good for us, no runs at course so again a grey area there. MG double dobbed in a group 3 which puts us right in the money in this Listed contest. No data for month or field size which again is a grey area and with quite a few runners it gives ample opportunity for a few to trade lower, but the way I think the race will unfold only a few will. Look for 50% – 80% Profit purely because if we get an average start the horse will be roasted along to get handy (I presume) therefore contracting but not as much as 80%, but if the selection pings the gate over 6f as mentioned depending on the distance between us and second at the 2f pole may get us that extra 30% Profit. Look for 50%-80% Profit.

17:25 Newmarket – Gabr

Awesometank should lead, and should get it easy up front our selection is fav and at time of writing is around 5.0 on Betfair if its trades below 4.0 before your matched don’t get involved I never like to get involved where the selection has to go below 2.0 to dob. Just my preference it’s up to you. 8f-10f 86% dob and ground conditions aren’t a problem 2 runs successfully dobbing both times. Class 1 racing 83% with two Group 1 races in there yes he dobbed both times. 1 run in the month and 1 run 7-9 runners again dobbing in October and doubled dobbing with the field size. Were either going to be looking for a full DOB here or a full loss unless you want to put a stop Loss in at 50%. Look for FULL DOB or 50% Stop Loss (£50 DOB Outlay look to get out -£25 if goes against you)

 

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